Jacksonville, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

074
FXUS64 KLZK 220503
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1103 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2025

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 228 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2025

Dry conditions, with a warming trend is expected during this
forecast period.

Latest satellite and surface observations indicate mainly clear
conditions across the forecast area.  The exception was noted across
west central sections, where 5000-6000 kft ceilings were noted
moving eastward. These ceilings appear to be associated with mid
level energy in a fast southern jet stream flow. These ceilings
will affect southern and portions of central Arkansas this
evening; any precipitation will be limited to isolated sprinkles.

Quite anomalously strong surface high pressure centered in southeast
Missouri will move eastward during the forecast period.  A low level
southerly flow will develop late in this period. Temperatures will
respond accordingly, with some areas reaching near or slightly above
normal values on Sunday.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 228 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2025

An upper level short-wave trough will be in the process of tracking
across the region at the intersection of the short term and long
term periods. At the surface, an area of low pressure will move Ewrd
along the Nrn Gulf Coast. Precipitation is anticipated to wrap
around the system but PoPs should drop off sharply on the Nrn side
of the surface low. As the forecast stands currently, only low end
PoPs may affect far Srn AR on Sunday evening with the bulk of
precipitation staying S of the state.

The system will then depart the region overnight Sunday night with
upper NW flow resuming over the nations mid-section Monday through
at least Thursday. At the surface, a weak area of high pressure will
quickly track across the region with winds transitioning to the SW
in the wake of high.

Temperatures will rebound nicely across the region, even climbing
above climatological averages for the date range. Temperatures will
range from the 30s and 40s for lows to lower 60s to mid 70s for
highs through mid-week. This will be a welcome change for many given
the well below average temperatures of late.

A quick moving upper level disturbance should drop SEwrd across the
Plains with a surface cold front in tandem pushing across the region
on Wednesday evening. Low end PoPs are expected to return to the
forecast across mainly Ern half of AR however at this time rainfall
amounts are expected to be around one tenth of an inch or less. On
Thursday, temperatures are expected to be cooler, returning to
near climatological averages for the date.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1103 PM CST Fri Feb 21 2025

High pressure will begin to build into the region with a return to
light southerly flow. Some mid level cloud is expected over the
majority of the terminals through the night before clearing out,
Widespread VFR conditions will continue.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     16  43  24  55 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         22  50  26  56 /   0   0   0  10
Harrison AR       14  42  25  56 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    20  47  26  56 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  19  43  26  55 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     23  48  28  55 /   0   0   0  10
Mount Ida AR      19  49  25  59 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  14  42  22  55 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        17  39  23  50 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     21  45  27  55 /   0   0   0  10
Russellville AR   17  45  23  57 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         16  42  22  54 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      20  41  26  53 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...56
LONG TERM....70
AVIATION...73